FK Smorgon vs Oshmyany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
6.5%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Smorgon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
GOM
0 - 2
FCS
44%
26%
31%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
FCS
4 - 2
BAR
67%
20%
14%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
TAR
0 - 1
FCS
30%
27%
43%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
SMO
0 - 1
FCS
42%
25%
33%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
FCS
4 - 4
ZOR
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Oshmyany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
TAR
3 - 2
OSH
65%
20%
14%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
SMO
4 - 0
OSH
75%
16%
10%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
OSH
1 - 3
ZOR
23%
23%
54%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
FCS
4 - 0
OSH
62%
21%
18%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
OSH
0 - 1
LID
29%
24%
47%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |