Qualif. Champions Primera ronda. Final
Global 3-3
Skonto Riga vs Sliema Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
18.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Skonto Riga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
SLI
2 - 0
FCS
33%
22%
46%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2003 |
FCS
4 - 0
AUD
91%
7%
2%
|
77 | 42 | 35 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2003 |
VAL
0 - 2
FCS
13%
17%
70%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2003 |
VEN
0 - 0
FCS
43%
22%
35%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
FKR
0 - 2
FCS
9%
15%
76%
|
77 | 49 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Sliema Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
SLI
2 - 0
FCS
33%
22%
46%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
SLI
0 - 2
BIR
53%
21%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
BIR
0 - 0
SLI
43%
25%
32%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2003 |
SLI
0 - 2
VAL
49%
22%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
HIB
5 - 1
SLI
45%
23%
32%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |