Simba vs TP Mazembe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
31.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
FCT
0 - 2
SIM
31%
27%
43%
|
69 | 43 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2025 |
SIM
0 - 0
VCL
41%
29%
30%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
MOT
3 - 0
SIM
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
RAN
1 - 0
SIM
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2025 |
SIM
1 - 0
SAN
46%
29%
25%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
TPM
1 - 1
AIG
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2025 |
SAI
1 - 1
TPM
39%
29%
32%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
TPM
1 - 0
MAN
56%
24%
21%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2025 |
TPM
2 - 0
MOT
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
DBL
0 - 4
TPM
44%
28%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |