Simba vs TP Mazembe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.7%
31.1%
Draw
0-0
14%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.1%
31.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2016 |
OPA
1 - 0
SIM
61%
24%
15%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
LUB
1 - 0
SIM
62%
23%
15%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
DIB
2 - 2
SIM
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
NSG
1 - 1
SIM
52%
26%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SIM
1 - 3
DBL
38%
31%
31%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
MOB
1 - 1
TPM
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 0
TPM
44%
30%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
OPA
0 - 1
TPM
52%
28%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
TPM
1 - 0
NSG
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
GBA
0 - 0
TPM
51%
27%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |