Simba vs Maniema Union analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
53%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.5%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
DBL
3 - 0
SIM
60%
24%
16%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
SIM
2 - 3
SAN
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
SIM
0 - 0
GBA
32%
31%
37%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
SIM
1 - 1
RCK
35%
29%
36%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
SIM
1 - 3
VCL
21%
29%
50%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Maniema Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
TPM
3 - 1
MAN
68%
17%
15%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
MAN
2 - 0
LUB
65%
22%
13%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
MAN
1 - 1
SAI
68%
21%
11%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
RCK
0 - 1
MAN
28%
29%
43%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
JSK
1 - 1
MAN
24%
28%
48%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |