FC Amicitia Riehen vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
71.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
LOC
0 - 2
THU
30%
25%
46%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
THU
9 - 0
STA
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
LAU
3 - 1
THU
39%
26%
36%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
THU
1 - 1
FCV
52%
24%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
BIE
1 - 1
THU
38%
25%
37%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |