Porto vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
9.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
GFC
3 - 5
FCP
23%
25%
52%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2003 |
VIT
1 - 2
FCP
29%
25%
46%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
FCP
1 - 0
BOA
69%
18%
12%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
BEL
1 - 3
FCP
22%
26%
53%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2003 |
FCP
2 - 1
GFC
79%
15%
7%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2003 |
VIT
1 - 0
VST
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2003 |
VIT
1 - 2
FCP
29%
25%
46%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
NAC
0 - 0
VIT
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2003 |
VIT
1 - 2
UDL
50%
24%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2003 |
VIT
1 - 1
SLB
33%
25%
43%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |