Porto vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.7%
Win probability
3.34
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.8%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.4%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.9%
4.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1963 |
LEX
1 - 1
FCP
26%
25%
50%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1963 |
FCP
3 - 1
FAB
82%
12%
6%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1963 |
FCP
0 - 0
ATM
63%
20%
18%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1963 |
ATM
2 - 1
FCP
62%
19%
19%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1963 |
BEL
3 - 0
FCP
39%
24%
38%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1963 |
VAR
4 - 1
FCB
71%
17%
12%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1963 |
ACA
2 - 0
VAR
57%
21%
22%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |