Porto vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
FCP
2 - 0
SCP
62%
20%
18%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
SPB
1 - 1
FCP
22%
25%
53%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2003 |
CEL
2 - 3
FCP
26%
23%
51%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
FCP
3 - 2
VAR
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
FCP
20%
25%
55%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
UDL
4 - 2
GFC
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2003 |
BOA
0 - 1
UDL
52%
26%
22%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
UDL
1 - 4
BEL
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2003 |
SCP
1 - 1
UDL
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
UDL
1 - 1
SPB
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |