Porto vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
17.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
FCP
2 - 1
ARS
28%
26%
46%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
LEX
0 - 0
FCP
17%
23%
60%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2010 |
FCP
1 - 0
ACA
68%
20%
11%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
FCP
3 - 0
NAV
74%
18%
9%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2010 |
FCP
5 - 2
SCP
47%
27%
27%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
SPB
2 - 1
MAR
59%
24%
17%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2010 |
BEL
1 - 3
SPB
29%
29%
42%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
SPB
0 - 0
RIO
68%
21%
11%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2010 |
SPB
1 - 0
SCP
33%
28%
39%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
SPB
4 - 1
UDL
67%
20%
13%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |