UCL Qualifying Third Round Final
Global 3-3
Porto vs FK Krasnodar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
GFC
2 - 1
FCP
3%
15%
83%
|
90 | 55 | 35 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2019 |
KRA
0 - 1
FCP
30%
26%
44%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
FCP
0 - 1
MON
73%
17%
10%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
FCP
2 - 1
GET
65%
21%
14%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2019 |
FCP
1 - 1
BET
62%
21%
17%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FK Krasnodar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
KRA
1 - 0
FCR
61%
23%
16%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2019 |
KRA
0 - 1
FCP
30%
26%
44%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
ZEN
1 - 1
KRA
55%
23%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
KRA
3 - 0
SOC
73%
16%
11%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
UFA
2 - 3
KRA
19%
26%
56%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |