Porto vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
11.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1994 |
FCP
1 - 0
BOA
64%
22%
15%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1994 |
VIT
0 - 0
FCP
27%
28%
46%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1994 |
FCP
3 - 0
GFC
73%
18%
10%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1994 |
UNM
0 - 2
FCP
21%
27%
52%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1994 |
FCB
3 - 0
FCP
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1994 |
FAR
4 - 1
SAL
58%
24%
19%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1994 |
BOA
0 - 1
FAR
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1994 |
FAR
3 - 0
PAÇ
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1994 |
VIT
2 - 2
FAR
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1994 |
FAR
0 - 0
SPB
61%
24%
16%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |