Porto vs CF Estrela Amadora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.5%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
5.4%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
FCP
2 - 1
UDL
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2001 |
FCP
1 - 0
RBK
58%
20%
22%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
ALV
0 - 1
FCP
23%
25%
53%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2001 |
JUV
3 - 1
FCP
57%
23%
20%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
FCP
1 - 2
BEL
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
CF Estrela Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
EST
2 - 0
AVE
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
OLI
2 - 2
EST
29%
26%
45%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
EST
2 - 2
CHA
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
OVA
3 - 1
EST
31%
26%
43%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
EST
1 - 0
ESP
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |