Otepää vs Vaprus Pärnu II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
34.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Otepää
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2018 |
OTE
3 - 5
TOR
38%
22%
41%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
OTE
4 - 3
TUL
28%
19%
53%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
OTE
1 - 2
TAB
14%
17%
69%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
KUR
5 - 0
OTE
29%
20%
51%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2018 |
TKA
2 - 0
OTE
49%
20%
31%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 2
GAN
38%
21%
41%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2018 |
JKP
0 - 2
PAR
52%
21%
27%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 3
PAI
10%
20%
70%
|
23 | 49 | 26 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2018 |
TOR
3 - 2
PAR
52%
20%
28%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
PAR
2 - 2
TJK
39%
21%
40%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |