Orbe vs Perly-Certoux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
48.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
VEV
2 - 4
FCO
83%
12%
5%
|
18 | 50 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
FCO
3 - 3
MON
13%
18%
69%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
FCG
0 - 1
FCO
69%
18%
13%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
FCO
0 - 3
SBC
19%
22%
60%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
STA
2 - 1
FCO
79%
15%
7%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Perly-Certoux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
PER
1 - 0
MON
26%
22%
52%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
SBC
2 - 0
PER
56%
22%
22%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
PER
2 - 3
SEC
46%
23%
31%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
BEX
3 - 1
PER
38%
24%
38%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
PER
0 - 3
BAV
37%
24%
39%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |