Orbe vs Bex analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
37.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
FCO
2 - 2
SIE
40%
24%
36%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
BAV
0 - 1
FCO
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
FCO
1 - 0
SER
14%
20%
66%
|
14 | 39 | 25 | +4 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
FCM
3 - 0
FCO
79%
14%
7%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Bex
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
BAV
3 - 1
BEX
74%
16%
10%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
BEX
1 - 1
FCM
23%
24%
53%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
VEV
3 - 0
BEX
82%
13%
5%
|
20 | 57 | 37 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
BEX
1 - 0
FCG
57%
22%
22%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2010 |
BEX
1 - 6
PER
32%
25%
44%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |