Inter-Cities Fairs Cup . 1/32
Global 1-4
Nürnberg vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1966 |
HSV
0 - 1
FCN
54%
22%
24%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1966 |
FCN
1 - 2
KAI
65%
19%
17%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1966 |
S04
1 - 0
FCN
32%
25%
43%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1966 |
FCN
3 - 1
MSV
60%
22%
19%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1966 |
STU
1 - 0
FCN
33%
26%
42%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1966 |
VCF
2 - 1
UDL
75%
16%
10%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1966 |
DEP
0 - 1
VCF
35%
27%
38%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1966 |
ATM
2 - 1
VCF
79%
13%
8%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1966 |
VCF
0 - 0
ATM
51%
24%
26%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1966 |
VCF
2 - 1
UPL
86%
9%
5%
|
84 | 52 | 32 | 0 |