Nürnberg vs Stuttgart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
52.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
LEV
0 - 0
FCN
72%
17%
11%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
HSV
1 - 1
FCN
62%
23%
15%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
FCN
1 - 2
SCF
46%
27%
28%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
MON
1 - 1
FCN
40%
27%
33%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
EIN
0 - 2
FCN
12%
20%
69%
|
78 | 35 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
STU
7 - 0
MON
66%
20%
15%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2010 |
STU
3 - 0
YOB
50%
24%
27%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
SCF
2 - 1
STU
23%
25%
52%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
STU
1 - 3
BVB
49%
24%
27%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2010 |
STU
2 - 2
SBR
66%
21%
13%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |