Nürnberg vs Pardubice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
PAD
0 - 1
FCN
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
FCN
0 - 0
ROS
50%
26%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
MAG
2 - 2
FCN
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
FCN
3 - 3
KAI
35%
27%
38%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
HAN
3 - 0
FCN
44%
27%
30%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pardubice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 0
PRI
54%
23%
23%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
PRI
0 - 2
PAR
36%
24%
40%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
BAN
2 - 4
PAR
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 0
JAB
27%
26%
47%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +2 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 2
ZLI
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |