Nürnberg vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
22.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1981 |
RTV
4 - 0
FCN
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1981 |
HSV
1 - 0
FCN
82%
11%
6%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1981 |
FCN
1 - 2
STU
31%
25%
44%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1980 |
FCN
1 - 1
LEV
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1980 |
ARB
0 - 2
FCN
54%
22%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1981 |
KSC
2 - 0
MSV
55%
23%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1981 |
MSV
0 - 3
RTV
54%
24%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1981 |
MSV
2 - 0
HSV
22%
24%
54%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 1981 |
MUN
1 - 3
MSV
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1980 |
MSV
0 - 3
STU
28%
25%
47%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | -1 |