Nürnberg vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
43.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
AAA
1 - 1
FCN
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2006 |
FCN
1 - 2
BRE
20%
23%
57%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
HER
2 - 1
FCN
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
FCN
1 - 1
BVB
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2006 |
PAD
1 - 2
FCN
28%
24%
49%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
LEV
2 - 3
BYM
30%
25%
45%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2006 |
RTV
1 - 3
LEV
32%
25%
44%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
LEV
1 - 1
M05
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
MON
0 - 2
LEV
28%
25%
47%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2006 |
MSV
3 - 2
LEV
23%
23%
55%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |