Nürnberg vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1967 |
MSV
2 - 0
FCN
43%
26%
31%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1967 |
KOL
3 - 3
FCN
57%
23%
21%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1967 |
FCN
4 - 1
KAI
63%
20%
17%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1967 |
BRE
0 - 4
FCN
54%
23%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1967 |
FCN
5 - 1
STU
62%
21%
17%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1967 |
AAA
1 - 1
KAI
42%
24%
34%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1967 |
BRE
0 - 1
AAA
69%
17%
13%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1967 |
AAA
3 - 2
STU
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1967 |
S04
2 - 1
AAA
50%
25%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1967 |
AAA
3 - 3
MUN
28%
25%
47%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |