USL League One Normal Season Round 10

FC Naples vs Chattanooga Red Wolves analysis

FC Naples Chattanooga Red Wolves
30 ELO 48
-3.2% Tilt -2.6%
10014º General ELO ranking 5068º
166º Country ELO ranking 93º
ELO win probability
22.1%
FC Naples
23.3%
Draw
54.6%
Chattanooga Red Wolves

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.1%
Win probability
FC Naples
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
54.6%
Win probability
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Naples
+2292%
+37%
Chattanooga Red Wolves

Points and table prediction

FC Naples
Their league position
Chattanooga Red Wolves
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
37
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Chattanooga Red Wolves
37
54
41%
One Knoxville
31
52
27%
Spokane Velocity
35
50
17.5%
Charlotte Independence
31
48
21%
Union Omaha
12º
18
44
16%
FC Naples
33
44
17.5%
Greenville Triumph
24
41
20.5%
AV Alta
28
40
27%
Forward Madison
11º
19
37
25%
Portland Hearts of Pine
21
35
10º
16%
Tormenta
10º
20
34
11º
23.5%
Richmond Kickers
13º
17
32
12º
23.5%
Texoma FC
21
29
13º
35.5%
Westchester SC
14º
16
27
14º
46.5%
Expected probabilities
FC Naples
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Promotion play-offs
90.5% 100%
Mid-table
9.5% 0%

ELO progression

FC Naples
Chattanooga Red Wolves
One Knoxville
Tormenta
AV Alta
Westchester SC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Naples
FC Naples
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jun. 2025
GTR
Greenville Triumph
1 - 1
FC Naples
NAP
70%
18%
12%
28 59 31 0
26 May. 2025
NAP
FC Naples
3 - 1
Union Omaha
OMA
21%
25%
54%
26 71 45 +2
17 May. 2025
PHP
Portland Hearts of Pine
2 - 1
FC Naples
NAP
21%
20%
59%
26 18 8 0
14 May. 2025
CRW
Chattanooga Red Wolves
3 - 1
FC Naples
NAP
74%
16%
10%
27 47 20 -1
20 Apr. 2025
NAP
FC Naples
0 - 1
One Knoxville
OKS
22%
25%
52%
27 58 31 0

Matches

Chattanooga Red Wolves
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jun. 2025
CRW
Chattanooga Red Wolves
2 - 1
Portland Hearts of Pine
PHP
90%
7%
3%
49 20 29 0
25 May. 2025
TOR
Tormenta
1 - 2
Chattanooga Red Wolves
CRW
58%
21%
21%
48 50 2 +1
14 May. 2025
CRW
Chattanooga Red Wolves
3 - 1
FC Naples
NAP
74%
16%
10%
47 27 20 +1
11 May. 2025
CRW
Chattanooga Red Wolves
0 - 0
Richmond Kickers
RIC
36%
24%
40%
47 52 5 0
07 May. 2025
NSC
Nashville SC
1 - 0
Chattanooga Red Wolves
CRW
86%
11%
4%
47 83 36 0