USL League One Normal Season Round 10

FC Naples vs Chattanooga Red Wolves analysis

FC Naples Chattanooga Red Wolves
30 ELO 48
-3.2% Tilt -2.6%
10056º General ELO ranking 5067º
169º Country ELO ranking 93º
ELO win probability
22.1%
FC Naples
23.3%
Draw
54.6%
Chattanooga Red Wolves

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.1%
Win probability
FC Naples
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
54.6%
Win probability
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Naples
+2195%
+37%
Chattanooga Red Wolves

Points and table prediction

FC Naples
Their league position
Chattanooga Red Wolves
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
34
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Chattanooga Red Wolves
34
52
38%
One Knoxville
28
52
22%
Spokane Velocity
35
50
14.5%
Charlotte Independence
31
49
16.5%
Union Omaha
10º
18
47
15%
FC Naples
32
44
18.5%
Greenville Triumph
23
43
13%
AV Alta
27
41
18%
Forward Madison
11º
18
39
19%
Richmond Kickers
12º
17
34
10º
16%
Portland Hearts of Pine
21
33
11º
15%
Tormenta
13º
17
32
12º
28%
Texoma FC
21
29
13º
29.5%
Westchester SC
14º
16
27
14º
46.5%
Expected probabilities
FC Naples
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Promotion play-offs
89.5% 99.5%
Mid-table
10.5% 0.5%

ELO progression

FC Naples
Chattanooga Red Wolves
One Knoxville
Forward Madison
Tormenta
Texoma FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Naples
FC Naples
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jun. 2025
GTR
Greenville Triumph
1 - 1
FC Naples
NAP
70%
18%
12%
28 59 31 0
26 May. 2025
NAP
FC Naples
3 - 1
Union Omaha
OMA
21%
25%
54%
26 71 45 +2
17 May. 2025
PHP
Portland Hearts of Pine
2 - 1
FC Naples
NAP
21%
20%
59%
26 18 8 0
14 May. 2025
CRW
Chattanooga Red Wolves
3 - 1
FC Naples
NAP
74%
16%
10%
27 47 20 -1
20 Apr. 2025
NAP
FC Naples
0 - 1
One Knoxville
OKS
22%
25%
52%
27 58 31 0

Matches

Chattanooga Red Wolves
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jun. 2025
CRW
Chattanooga Red Wolves
2 - 1
Portland Hearts of Pine
PHP
90%
7%
3%
49 20 29 0
25 May. 2025
TOR
Tormenta
1 - 2
Chattanooga Red Wolves
CRW
58%
21%
21%
48 50 2 +1
14 May. 2025
CRW
Chattanooga Red Wolves
3 - 1
FC Naples
NAP
74%
16%
10%
47 27 20 +1
11 May. 2025
CRW
Chattanooga Red Wolves
0 - 0
Richmond Kickers
RIC
36%
24%
40%
47 52 5 0
07 May. 2025
NSC
Nashville SC
1 - 0
Chattanooga Red Wolves
CRW
86%
11%
4%
47 83 36 0