FC Naples vs Chattanooga Red Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
54.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2292%
+37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
6º
6º
37
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
37 | 54 |
1º
|
41% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 52 |
2º
|
27% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 50 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 48 |
4º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 44 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
|
3º
|
33 | 44 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 41 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 40 |
8º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 37 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 35 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 34 |
11º
|
23.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 32 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 29 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 27 |
14º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
90.5% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
9.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Naples
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
GTR
1 - 1
NAP
70%
18%
12%
|
28 | 59 | 31 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2025 |
NAP
3 - 1
OMA
21%
25%
54%
|
26 | 71 | 45 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
PHP
2 - 1
NAP
21%
20%
59%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
CRW
3 - 1
NAP
74%
16%
10%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
NAP
0 - 1
OKS
22%
25%
52%
|
27 | 58 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Chattanooga Red Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
CRW
2 - 1
PHP
90%
7%
3%
|
49 | 20 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
TOR
1 - 2
CRW
58%
21%
21%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
CRW
3 - 1
NAP
74%
16%
10%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
CRW
0 - 0
RIC
36%
24%
40%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
NSC
1 - 0
CRW
86%
11%
4%
|
47 | 83 | 36 | 0 |