Mutschellen vs Binningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
61.9%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-62%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
11º
14º
15º
37
6º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
60.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
60.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
59% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
59% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 40 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
84.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
11 | 11 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mutschellen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MUT
5 - 0
MUT
90%
7%
4%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
MUT
5 - 2
BUB
21%
20%
59%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ZOF
4 - 1
MUT
82%
11%
6%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
MUT
0 - 1
RSZ
10%
16%
74%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
REG
3 - 0
MUT
56%
20%
24%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Binningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BIN
2 - 1
REG
72%
16%
12%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
DIE
5 - 1
BIN
73%
16%
12%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BIN
1 - 1
PRA
49%
22%
30%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
FCW
0 - 2
BIN
68%
17%
15%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
OLD
2 - 0
BIN
73%
16%
12%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |