Cup Estonia 1/16

FC Metropool vs Ararat analysis

FC Metropool Ararat
39 ELO 39
16.3% Tilt 14.4%
29202º General ELO ranking 29056º
133º Country ELO ranking 125º
ELO win probability
49.8%
FC Metropool
21.6%
Draw
28.6%
Ararat

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
FC Metropool
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
28.6%
Win probability
Ararat
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

FC Metropool
Ararat
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Metropool
FC Metropool
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Aug. 2014
FCM
FC Metropool
5 - 1
Saue JK
SJK
43%
22%
35%
37 40 3 0
27 Jul. 2014
FCM
FC Metropool
4 - 0
Tallinna Kalev II
TKA
38%
22%
41%
34 39 5 +3
20 Jul. 2014
NOM
Nõmme United
2 - 7
FC Metropool
FCM
66%
16%
18%
33 32 1 +1
16 Jul. 2014
FCM
FC Metropool
3 - 1
Raasiku Valla
RVA
83%
11%
6%
32 9 23 +1
26 Jun. 2014
FCM
FC Metropool
9 - 0
FC Haiba
HAI
79%
13%
8%
32 12 20 0

Matches

Ararat
Ararat
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Jul. 2014
TJK
TJK Legion
1 - 3
Ararat
FCA
34%
23%
43%
38 28 10 0
24 Jul. 2014
FCA
Ararat
3 - 0
FC Flora Tallin III
FLO
72%
16%
12%
38 27 11 0
19 Jul. 2014
MAA
Maardu FC
2 - 1
Ararat
FCA
70%
17%
13%
38 45 7 0
15 Jul. 2014
FCA
Ararat
5 - 0
Tallinna Ülikool II
TUF
82%
12%
6%
38 9 29 0
12 Jul. 2014
FCA
Ararat
0 - 3
Tallinna Infonet II
TIN
20%
22%
59%
39 54 15 -1