National round 15

FC Martigues vs Niort analysis

FC Martigues Niort
65 ELO 59
3.9% Tilt -13.2%
1664º General ELO ranking 17586º
45º Country ELO ranking 389º
ELO win probability
56.7%
FC Martigues
23.5%
Draw
19.8%
Niort

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
FC Martigues
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.8%
Win probability
Niort
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Martigues
-7%
-6%
Niort

Points and table prediction

FC Martigues
Their league position
Niort
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
12º
58
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Red Star
65
65
100%
FC Martigues
59
59
100%
Niort
58
58
100%
Dijon FCO
54
54
100%
FC Rouen 1899
49
54
100%
Le Mans
52
52
100%
Nancy
50
51
100%
Sochaux
48
48
100%
Versailles
47
47
100%
Orléans
10º
44
44
10º
100%
Nîmes
11º
44
44
11º
100%
Chateauroux
12º
42
42
12º
100%
Villefranche
13º
41
41
13º
100%
GOAL FC
14º
38
38
14º
100%
Avranches
15º
38
38
15º
100%
Marignane Gignac
16º
37
37
16º
100%
Épinal
17º
33
33
17º
100%
Cholet
18º
32
32
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
FC Martigues
Niort
Promotion
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

FC Martigues
Niort
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Martigues
FC Martigues
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Nov. 2023
CHO
Cholet
0 - 2
FC Martigues
FCM
23%
27%
50%
63 52 11 0
18 Nov. 2023
VEL
Velay FC
1 - 3
FC Martigues
FCM
7%
15%
78%
63 25 38 0
10 Nov. 2023
FCM
FC Martigues
1 - 0
Nancy
ASN
62%
22%
16%
63 56 7 0
03 Nov. 2023
VIL
Villefranche
0 - 1
FC Martigues
FCM
49%
26%
24%
62 63 1 +1
20 Oct. 2023
FCM
FC Martigues
1 - 1
Chateauroux
CHA
57%
23%
20%
62 57 5 0

Matches

Niort
Niort
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Nov. 2023
NIO
Niort
4 - 2
Sochaux
SOC
29%
27%
44%
58 67 9 0
10 Nov. 2023
MOA
GOAL FC
2 - 3
Niort
NIO
36%
27%
37%
57 53 4 +1
06 Nov. 2023
NIO
Niort
1 - 1
Red Star
RED
24%
26%
50%
57 68 11 0
20 Oct. 2023
ORL
Orléans
4 - 2
Niort
NIO
44%
27%
30%
58 57 1 -1
11 Oct. 2023
NIO
Niort
1 - 0
Versailles
VER
45%
27%
28%
57 59 2 +1