Marko vs Lilas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
27.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
VYZ
0 - 0
FCM
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
FCM
0 - 0
PAM
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
ETH
2 - 0
FCM
50%
25%
25%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
VER
2 - 1
FCM
53%
25%
22%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2004 |
FCM
0 - 0
THR
33%
29%
38%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lilas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
LIL
1 - 0
ATH
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
ATS
2 - 0
LIL
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
LIL
1 - 2
ACH
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |