Marko vs Aharnaikos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
42.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
PAM
3 - 3
FCM
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
FCM
2 - 2
THR
30%
30%
40%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
AGI
2 - 0
FCM
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
FCM
3 - 2
LIL
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
VYZ
0 - 0
FCM
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aharnaikos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
AHA
4 - 0
ATH
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
AHA
1 - 0
ATS
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
ACH
1 - 3
AHA
29%
26%
45%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
AHA
1 - 1
ROD
51%
26%
23%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
KER
1 - 2
AHA
21%
23%
56%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |