1. FC Magdeburg U19 vs St. Pauli U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
38.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
4º
8º
5º
15
3º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1. FC Magdeburg U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
FCM
2 - 4
UBE
30%
22%
48%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
HOL
1 - 6
FCM
28%
21%
51%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
FCM
2 - 1
WOL
13%
17%
70%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
HAM
2 - 4
FCM
80%
12%
8%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
FCM
2 - 3
BAK
29%
21%
50%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
St. Pauli U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
PAU
3 - 3
BAK
47%
21%
31%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
UBE
0 - 2
PAU
67%
17%
16%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
PAU
2 - 3
HAN
49%
22%
29%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
HOL
1 - 1
PAU
26%
20%
54%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
HAM
3 - 0
PAU
63%
18%
19%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |