Lutry vs Gumefens / Sorens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
30.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lutry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
LAC
5 - 0
FCL
83%
12%
5%
|
21 | 51 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
FCL
1 - 2
COL
39%
24%
37%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
TPA
5 - 0
FCL
61%
20%
20%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
FCL
0 - 0
LER
34%
23%
43%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
FCL
1 - 4
LAU
22%
22%
57%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Gumefens / Sorens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
POR
3 - 3
GUM
56%
22%
22%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
GUM
0 - 2
LYS
37%
23%
40%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2014 |
GUM
0 - 3
LAU
18%
21%
61%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
DUR
1 - 1
GUM
49%
23%
28%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SEC
3 - 1
GUM
60%
20%
20%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |