Lutry vs Orbe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lutry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
TER
1 - 1
FCL
75%
16%
10%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
FCL
1 - 3
SER
22%
23%
55%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
MON
0 - 7
FCL
43%
23%
34%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
FCL
1 - 1
SIE
44%
23%
34%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
SBC
3 - 0
FCL
59%
21%
20%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Orbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
FCO
3 - 2
USC
34%
23%
43%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
BEX
2 - 1
FCO
37%
24%
40%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
FCO
1 - 3
PER
40%
24%
37%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
BAV
3 - 1
FCO
81%
12%
7%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
FCO
1 - 3
COL
30%
24%
46%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |