Lixa vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
50.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lixa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
FAM
3 - 1
LIX
72%
18%
10%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
TIR
1 - 0
LIX
65%
21%
14%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
LIX
2 - 1
JOA
34%
24%
42%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
RIB
1 - 2
LIX
74%
17%
9%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
LIX
0 - 1
ADO
27%
25%
47%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
VAR
1 - 0
FEL
49%
26%
25%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
FAM
2 - 1
VAR
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
VAR
0 - 1
TIR
53%
25%
22%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
JOA
2 - 2
VAR
30%
25%
45%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
VAR
0 - 0
RIB
47%
26%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |