FC Lahti vs VPS Vaasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
52.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
3º
9º
9º
36
3º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 54 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 50 |
2º
|
69% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 46 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 42 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 41 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 38 |
7º
|
41% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 32 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
22 | 29 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 28 |
10º
|
40.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 19 |
12º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lahti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
OUL
1 - 1
FCL
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
FCL
1 - 0
HON
22%
26%
53%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
HAK
1 - 1
FCL
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
FCL
0 - 2
IFK
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
FCL
1 - 1
SEI
26%
27%
47%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
VPS Vaasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
VAA
3 - 2
SEI
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
ILV
0 - 2
VAA
38%
26%
37%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
VAA
4 - 1
HAK
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
VAA
3 - 0
OUL
33%
26%
41%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
INT
0 - 2
VAA
50%
24%
25%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |