FC La Libertad vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
50.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2675%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
9º
9º
22
8º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 31 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 31 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 31 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 31 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 28 |
6º
|
30% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 27 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 27 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
30% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 26 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 26 |
11º
|
7% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 25 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 25 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 24 |
14º
|
30% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 23 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
73.5% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 18 |
17º
|
92.5% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 15 |
18º
|
92.5% | |
|
19º
|
11 | 11 |
19º
|
100% | |
|
20º
|
7 | 8 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
15.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
84.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC La Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
DJC
2 - 2
FCL
64%
20%
16%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
FCL
2 - 1
VEN
20%
22%
58%
|
33 | 57 | 24 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
IZT
3 - 1
FCL
81%
12%
7%
|
33 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
COA
1 - 0
FCL
69%
19%
13%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
FCL
3 - 1
PFC
67%
17%
16%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
NUE
4 - 1
COA
38%
24%
37%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
PFC
3 - 1
NUE
19%
22%
59%
|
50 | 24 | 26 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
NUE
2 - 0
SPD
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
QUI
0 - 0
NUE
31%
25%
44%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
NUE
2 - 0
DFC
45%
24%
32%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |