UCL Qualifying Second Round Final
Global 4-5
FC Koper vs Dinamo Zagreb analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
42.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Koper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2010 |
FCK
4 - 1
NKP
58%
25%
17%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2010 |
DZG
5 - 1
FCK
69%
18%
13%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2010 |
FCK
0 - 0
MAR
43%
24%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
NKN
1 - 2
FCK
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2010 |
FCK
1 - 3
DOM
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
DZG
1 - 0
HKS
54%
22%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2010 |
DZG
5 - 1
FCK
69%
18%
13%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2010 |
DZG
1 - 1
KAR
86%
10%
5%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
HNS
2 - 1
DZG
24%
26%
50%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
DZG
0 - 0
HKS
58%
23%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |