Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 7-0
Kobenhavn vs Stjarnan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kobenhavn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
FCK
4 - 0
AAB
59%
23%
19%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
STJ
0 - 2
FCK
46%
25%
30%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2018 |
HOB
0 - 3
FCK
34%
28%
38%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
FCK
1 - 1
KUO
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2018 |
FCK
1 - 2
ACH
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Stjarnan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
VIK
0 - 4
STJ
21%
26%
53%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
STJ
0 - 2
FCK
46%
25%
30%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
KRR
1 - 0
STJ
36%
27%
38%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
KAL
1 - 0
STJ
57%
21%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
STJ
3 - 0
KAL
44%
23%
33%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |