Joël Sava vs Espoir Manerinerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
11.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joël Sava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
USA
0 - 2
FJS
55%
21%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
FJS
0 - 4
3FB
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
FJS
0 - 0
AMP
51%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
FJS
1 - 1
TFC
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
AFT
2 - 2
FJS
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Espoir Manerinerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
SFJ
8 - 0
EMM
78%
14%
9%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |