Ingolstadt 04 vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ING
1 - 1
SVS
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
EBT
3 - 0
ING
56%
25%
20%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
ING
4 - 2
SSV
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
HER
0 - 0
ING
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
ING
2 - 0
VFR
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ERZ
0 - 4
HER
17%
23%
60%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
MSV
2 - 1
ERZ
50%
25%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
ERZ
1 - 1
EBT
30%
29%
41%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2012 |
KAI
4 - 1
ERZ
67%
21%
12%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
M05
2 - 0
ERZ
73%
18%
10%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |