FC Hörbranz vs Hard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
57.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
1º
4º
3º
52
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 50 |
6º
|
74.5% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
89% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
89% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Hörbranz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
FCH
1 - 2
FCH
46%
22%
33%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
FCH
3 - 1
SCF
55%
20%
25%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
FCH
4 - 1
BEZ
32%
22%
46%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
FCH
3 - 1
BLA
39%
21%
40%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
BEZ
1 - 2
FCH
76%
14%
10%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
HAR
6 - 2
HIT
87%
9%
4%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
HAR
5 - 1
BRE
80%
13%
8%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
FCH
1 - 6
HAR
27%
22%
50%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
LOC
0 - 0
HAR
60%
19%
22%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
HAR
2 - 1
ALB
35%
23%
42%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |