FC Honka vs VPS Vaasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
30.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
3º
5º
4º
49
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
49 | 13 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 10 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
53 | 9 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
41 | 6 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 4 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 1 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Honka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SEI
1 - 2
HON
36%
27%
36%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
HON
0 - 2
CAR
34%
25%
41%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
KOO
1 - 2
HON
21%
26%
53%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
HON
2 - 0
ILV
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
HON
1 - 0
IFK
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
VPS Vaasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
KUO
0 - 2
VAA
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
IFK
1 - 2
VAA
21%
24%
55%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
VAA
2 - 1
KOO
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
FCL
0 - 2
VAA
23%
24%
52%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
VAA
3 - 2
SEI
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |