UEFA Intertoto Cup . Semi-finals
Global 3-3
FC Honka vs Aalborg BK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
40.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Honka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2007 |
HON
2 - 0
TPS
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2007 |
TVM
2 - 4
HON
70%
17%
14%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
HON
0 - 0
TVM
33%
24%
43%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2007 |
HON
0 - 0
FCL
57%
24%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2007 |
TPS
1 - 3
HON
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Aalborg BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2007 |
AAB
3 - 1
OBK
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2007 |
MID
2 - 1
AAB
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
AAB
2 - 0
ESB
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
ACH
1 - 4
AAB
26%
27%
47%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2007 |
AAB
1 - 1
FCN
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |