FC Gvardiya vs FK Alushta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.2%
15.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Gvardiya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
KYB
1 - 3
FCG
82%
11%
7%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
FCG
3 - 1
FIZ
39%
21%
40%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
FCG
1 - 4
SKT
12%
16%
73%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
FCG
0 - 4
TSK
9%
14%
78%
|
10 | 36 | 26 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
YAL
3 - 1
FCG
39%
22%
39%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
FK Alushta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
YAL
2 - 0
ALU
67%
17%
17%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ALU
1 - 8
SKT
10%
14%
76%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
TSK
7 - 0
ALU
86%
9%
5%
|
7 | 37 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
ALU
0 - 4
YAL
33%
21%
47%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ALU
1 - 3
OCE
17%
19%
64%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |