FC Grenchen vs Thun II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
48.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Grenchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
FCG
1 - 4
SCH
18%
21%
61%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
FCG
1 - 2
DOR
29%
24%
47%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
BRE
5 - 0
FCG
72%
18%
10%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
OLD
5 - 0
FCG
72%
17%
11%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
FCG
2 - 0
WAN
30%
24%
46%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +3 |
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
THU
4 - 2
SOL
29%
25%
47%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
SCH
2 - 2
THU
68%
18%
14%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
THU
2 - 1
ZOF
65%
19%
16%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
BRE
4 - 3
THU
67%
19%
13%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
THU
1 - 2
SEN
45%
25%
30%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |