1.FC Geesdorf vs Würzburger FV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
35.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
11º
18º
18º
45
2º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
71 | 71 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 34 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
12 | 12 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1.FC Geesdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
NEU
1 - 2
FCG
60%
19%
21%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FCG
2 - 0
JRE
16%
17%
67%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
DJK
7 - 2
FCG
78%
13%
9%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
KOR
1 - 0
FCG
68%
17%
15%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
FCG
1 - 2
ELT
16%
17%
67%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Würzburger FV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
WUR
0 - 1
KOR
49%
22%
29%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
ELT
1 - 1
WUR
75%
15%
10%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
WUR
3 - 1
SVD
22%
21%
57%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +3 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ASV
1 - 2
WUR
43%
23%
34%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
WUR
2 - 1
WEI
28%
22%
50%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +2 |