Oberliga Bayern Nord. Jor. 5

1.FC Geesdorf vs Ammerthal analysis

1.FC Geesdorf Ammerthal
21 ELO 23
5.3% Tilt -0.7%
41032º General ELO ranking 6806º
2066º Country ELO ranking 254º
ELO win probability
47.7%
1.FC Geesdorf
20.6%
Draw
31.8%
Ammerthal

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.FC Geesdorf
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.6%
31.8%
Win probability
Ammerthal
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

1.FC Geesdorf
Their league position
Ammerthal
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
11º
18º
18º
53
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Eintracht Bamberg
78
78
100%
DJK Gebenbach
72
72
100%
Eltersdorf
71
71
100%
TSV Abtswind
64
64
100%
SV Donaustauf
61
61
100%
Ammerthal
53
53
100%
ASV Cham
49
49
100%
Jahn Regensburg II
47
47
100%
TSV Kornburg
46
46
100%
Würzburger FV
10º
45
45
10º
100%
ASV Neumarkt
11º
44
44
11º
100%
ATSV Erlangen
12º
41
41
12º
0%
Feucht SC
13º
41
41
13º
0%
DJK Bamberg
14º
36
36
14º
100%
Bayern Hof
15º
35
35
15º
100%
Grossbardorf
16º
34
34
16º
100%
Weiden
17º
28
28
17º
100%
1.FC Geesdorf
18º
12
12
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
1.FC Geesdorf
Ammerthal
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

1.FC Geesdorf
Ammerthal
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

1.FC Geesdorf
1.FC Geesdorf
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jul. 2022
GRO
Grossbardorf
2 - 2
1.FC Geesdorf
FCG
53%
21%
26%
22 24 2 0
23 Jul. 2022
FCG
1.FC Geesdorf
2 - 4
Feucht SC
FEU
51%
21%
29%
23 23 0 -1
20 Jul. 2022
TSV
TSV Abtswind
1 - 1
1.FC Geesdorf
FCG
43%
22%
35%
23 22 1 0
16 Jul. 2022
FCG
1.FC Geesdorf
1 - 1
Bayern Hof
BAY
73%
15%
12%
24 17 7 -1
14 Nov. 2021
FCG
1.FC Geesdorf
1 - 2
SV Friesen
SVF
74%
14%
11%
24 17 7 0

Matches

Ammerthal
Ammerthal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jul. 2022
AMM
Ammerthal
3 - 0
TSV Kornburg
KOR
30%
22%
48%
20 27 7 0
23 Jul. 2022
ELT
Eltersdorf
1 - 1
Ammerthal
AMM
76%
14%
10%
20 32 12 0
20 Jul. 2022
AMM
Ammerthal
3 - 3
SV Donaustauf
SVD
25%
21%
54%
19 29 10 +1
16 Jul. 2022
ASV
ASV Cham
2 - 4
Ammerthal
AMM
36%
23%
41%
19 17 2 0
08 Jul. 2022
AMM
Ammerthal
0 - 2
Vilzing
VIL
16%
20%
64%
19 41 22 0
X