Gambarogno - Contone vs Perlen-Buchrain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
7º
13º
7º
32
1º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 68 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 56 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 55 |
3º
|
65.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
72.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 48 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 46 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 46 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 30 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
14º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
15º
|
65.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 16 |
16º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 62% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 38% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gambarogno - Contone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
SCE
2 - 1
FCC
35%
24%
41%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
FCC
2 - 1
LOC
30%
25%
45%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
FCC
1 - 1
FCC
63%
20%
17%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
LUZ
1 - 2
FCC
27%
26%
48%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FCC
1 - 1
RSZ
25%
25%
50%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Perlen-Buchrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
PER
5 - 0
GOL
30%
21%
49%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
FCU
1 - 5
PER
62%
19%
19%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
PER
1 - 3
BUO
23%
21%
57%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
PER
0 - 2
SCE
52%
21%
27%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
LOC
2 - 0
PER
74%
16%
10%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |