Forward vs Sierre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
28.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forward
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2019 |
CON
4 - 4
FCF
44%
22%
35%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
COL
2 - 0
FCF
42%
22%
36%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
FCF
6 - 1
CHI
77%
14%
10%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
DAR
5 - 3
FCF
13%
17%
70%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
FCF
0 - 1
INT
65%
18%
18%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -3 |
Matches
Sierre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
SIE
3 - 1
CHI
75%
14%
11%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
DAR
1 - 4
SIE
27%
22%
52%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
SIE
4 - 3
INT
41%
22%
37%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
FCM
1 - 2
SIE
83%
11%
6%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
SBC
1 - 2
SIE
62%
19%
19%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |