Fayzkand vs Istiklol Dushanbe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
43.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+127%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fayzkand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
FKE
0 - 0
FCF
54%
22%
24%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
FCF
2 - 6
FKK
43%
23%
34%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
RAV
4 - 2
FCF
54%
22%
24%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FCF
0 - 0
KHO
44%
23%
34%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
FCF
1 - 2
IST
36%
22%
42%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Istiklol Dushanbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2023 |
IST
4 - 2
FKE
56%
20%
24%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
IST
2 - 0
RAV
58%
21%
21%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
IST
1 - 1
ALN
4%
10%
86%
|
30 | 75 | 45 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
FKK
1 - 4
IST
42%
23%
35%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2023 |
ADS
2 - 0
IST
90%
8%
3%
|
30 | 64 | 34 | -2 |