FC Esteli vs Real Estelí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.8%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.4%
10%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10%
85.6%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
12.5%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.1%
0-4
9.5%
1-5
3.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
13.4%
0-5
5.7%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
7.7%
0-6
2.9%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.7%
0-7
1.3%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.6%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Esteli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2025 |
ATR
1 - 2
EST
22%
20%
59%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
ORM
2 - 0
EST
25%
21%
54%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
EST
1 - 1
ORM
58%
21%
22%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
CDS
2 - 0
EST
88%
9%
3%
|
17 | 51 | 34 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
EST
1 - 1
CDS
6%
12%
82%
|
11 | 53 | 42 | +6 |
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
EST
3 - 0
RSA
72%
18%
10%
|
68 | 28 | 40 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
EST
5 - 0
UNA
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2025 |
EST
1 - 1
MAN
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2025 |
CDS
1 - 3
EST
31%
25%
44%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2025 |
TIG
3 - 0
EST
70%
18%
12%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -2 |