Viareggio vs Follonica Gavorrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
8.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viareggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
JMO
2 - 1
FCV
22%
24%
54%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
FCV
2 - 2
VFC
80%
15%
6%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
VOL
0 - 2
FCV
13%
22%
65%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
FCV
1 - 2
SSD
80%
14%
6%
|
48 | 23 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
FCV
1 - 2
PIS
22%
27%
51%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
GAV
4 - 1
ACS
56%
23%
21%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
ASG
2 - 1
GAV
78%
15%
7%
|
29 | 50 | 21 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
GAV
2 - 1
GHI
62%
20%
19%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
USP
1 - 1
GAV
56%
23%
21%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
GAV
2 - 2
PIA
45%
26%
29%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |